Search results
57 results found.
Implications of climate change for an agriculture agency
...This case study illustrates the use of iterative analysis to cope with the complexity of climate change scenarios.Summary The agency is a government department charged with supporting, developing and enhancing the agriculture sector, including supporting agricultural exports and international market access. It is also responsible for regulating biosecurity, food safety, animal welfare, licensing and compliance as well as coordinating planning for,...
Read moreSupporting property development decisions
...tes in a reasonable way, to overcome problems associated with the inherent complexity of many of them. It also notes the importance of setting workshop agendas to make it easy for senior executives to participate.This case study outlines how a property development company analysed uncertainty as an input to a Board decision. The development was an attractive opportunity with retail, commercial and residential components. The case contains an exten...
Read morePre-bid risks for a large construction contract
...s RFT documents for the work the JV proposed to address added to the usual complexity of tender preparation, exacerbated in this case by the scale of the opportunity in relation to the JV partners' existing activities. If they won the work, it would form a large part of their business. The risk assessments took place in the context of an evolving commercial approach to the tender and before many of the technical responses were settled. The objecti...
Read moreLearning lessons and root cause analysis
...uitable for high-level, everyday root cause analysis where there is little complexity. The second method, cause and effect analysis, is a more rigorous approach ideally suited for looking at situations where a series of events has occurred that led to the success or failure. Whichever method is used, the analysis and outputs should be well recorded to show and preserve: The circumstances of the event, occurrence or change The nature of the success...
Read moreIdentifying failure modes in an oil refinery process unit
...ors respond to them: Time pressures Other causes of stress Task design and complexity Level of experience and effectiveness of training Procedural errors Human to technology interfaces Fitness for duty (e.g., due to illness or drug-related impairment) Process supervision Workplace culture Effectiveness of communication (e.g., at shift handovers, or about abnormal conditions). One of the failure modes we considered in this case was operator error,...
Read moreUnknown unknowns
...orts. The inclusion of diverse sources of information and an acceptance of complexity and uncertainty appeared to improve the reliability of forecasts although, even then, many forecasts still failed. This is consistent with the behaviour of complex systems described in the Cynefin framework [2] which is outlined below – some things that matter to us cannot be forecast reliably and the best we can do is catch them as they begin to emerge by detect...
Read moreClimate change and risk management
...f treatment. The first two categories recognise the fact that, despite the complexity of climate science and the difficulty of making precise forecasts, the requirement to treat some risks will be apparent as soon as they are spelled out. Detailed technical analysis is not required for every decision. It can be true of any risk assessment, but especially of climate change risk assessment, that the exercise might simply expose matters that had prev...
Read moreThoughts on the integration of risk management
...few signs over the last 18 months that our profession is seeking to reduce complexity or is striving to make what it does more understandable and relevant to its customers. As risk managers, we make a great fuss about the need to integrate the management of risk into a system of management and, in particular, into the processes of decision-making. Indeed, this is one of the principles of effective risk management given in AS/NZS ISO 31000. And yet...
Read moreProject risk management methods
...is similar to the last one you did. As soon as the technical content, the complexity, the commercial arrangements, the resourcing strategy or other key feature move into untried waters, judgement is potentially unreliable. An even greater danger is that you might not realise you are getting out of your depth until it is too late. Check lists Lists of things that have gone wrong in the past are very popular. The drive to avoid making the same mist...
Read moreAbout Broadleaf
At Broadleaf we help our clients deal with uncertainty and complexity, from simple risk assessments and decision support to complicated analysis of options and challenging decisions. We assist at all levels, from individual projects and isolated requirements through to organisational risk management frameworks and strategic capabilities. We add value to small important exercises as well as very large and difficult undertakings.At Broadleaf we hel...
Read more